Just a thought but I always get suspicious about the point the HS exits the stud. I have sorted out more out of flat and off centre hair springs by tweaking at the stud than anywhere else and I reckon it's because it's the most vulnerable point if the balance cock is handled carelessly or if there is a struggle with the tweezers trying to remove the stud from the mounting.
Looking at your pics it looks to me like the terminal curve spacing (to the next coil) is less at the stud than at the dog leg.
The difference between the red and green circles.
If you slacken the bends at the dog leg it will reduce the spacing at the dog leg, and if you slacken the bends at and just after the stud it will increase the spacing at the stud; in either case you will need to gently reprofile the arc between the two points. Also, it looks as though both approaches should be possible without adversely displacing the collet from the balance pivot, and could even be used to improve this alignment.
What we can't see though is the where the central point between the inner curb pin and the inside of the boot is. As this is the point you need the hair spring to be at, without knowing where that point is it is impossible to say which of the two adjustments is correct, or if you need to do a bit of both, which I suspect is the correct answer.
If you measure the distance between the centre of the balance jewel and the inside of the inner curb pin and carefully draw a circle on a piece of paper with that diameter using a pair of compasses. Place this template onto a piece of cork board and pin the hair spring to it so that the pin goes into the centre of the circle you will be able to use the circle as a template for the terminal curve. You do need to ensure that the collet is held firmly on the centre of the circle.